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#150631 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:34 AM 13.Sep.2007)
TCMAT3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082007
1500 UTC THU SEP 13 2007

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 48.0W AT 13/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 45SE 45SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 48.0W AT 13/1500Z
AT 13/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 47.7W

FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 14.2N 49.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 14.5N 49.9W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 14.8N 50.8W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 15.2N 52.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 16.0N 54.4W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 17.0N 57.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 18.2N 59.6W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.9N 48.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS/FRANKLIN