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| #152203 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:31 PM 23.Sep.2007) TCPAT1 BULLETIN SUBTROPICAL STORM JERRY ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112007 500 PM AST SUN SEP 23 2007 ...JERRY BEGINNING TO TAKE ON TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS... AT 500 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM JERRY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 36.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 46.3 WEST OR ABOUT 1060 MILES...1705 KM...WEST OF THE AZORES. THE STORM IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/HR...AND A NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD MOTION WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK THE STORM WILL BE MOVING OVER THE OPEN WATERS OF THE NORTH CENTRAL ATLANTIC...WELL TO THE WEST OF THE AZORES. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND JERRY IS LIKELY TO ACQUIRE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS LATER TONIGHT. WINDS OF 40 MPH EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES. REPEATING THE 500 PM AST POSITION...36.8 N...46.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 1100 PM AST. $$ FORECASTER PASCH |
