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#152321 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:40 PM 24.Sep.2007) TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION JERRY ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112007 500 PM AST MON SEP 24 2007 ...JERRY EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE LATER TONIGHT... AT 500 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION JERRY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 41.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 42.7 WEST OR ABOUT 870 MILES...1400 KM...WEST-NORTHWEST OF THE AZORES. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 23 MPH...37 KM/HR...AND AN ADDITIONAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS ANTICIPATED TODAY AND TONIGHT...AND JERRY IS FORECAST TO BE ABSORBED BY A LARGER NON-TROPICAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM BY TUESDAY MORNING. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES. REPEATING THE 500 PM AST POSITION...41.8 N...42.7 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 23 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 1100 PM AST. $$ FORECASTER PASCH |