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| #152666 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:43 AM 27.Sep.2007) TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM KAREN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122007 0900 UTC THU SEP 27 2007 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 46.6W AT 27/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT.......150NE 105SE 25SW 75NW. 34 KT.......180NE 150SE 45SW 150NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 90SE 60SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 46.6W AT 27/0900Z AT 27/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 46.1W FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 14.6N 48.3W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 75NE 60SE 0SW 45NW. 34 KT...150NE 120SE 45SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 15.8N 50.2W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 75NE 60SE 0SW 45NW. 34 KT...150NE 120SE 45SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 16.9N 51.9W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...100NE 75SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 18.1N 53.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...100NE 75SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 20.0N 56.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 50SE 25SW 50NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 21.5N 57.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 23.0N 59.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.6N 46.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/1500Z $$ FORECASTER MAINELLI |
