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| #152743 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:40 PM 27.Sep.2007) TCPAT3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM LORENZO ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132007 400 PM CDT THU SEP 27 2007 ...LORENZO EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST OF MEXICO AS A HURRICANE... AT 4 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO FROM PALMA SOLA TO CABO ROJO. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. AT 4 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM SOUTH OF PALMA SOLA TO VERACRUZ. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO FROM NORTH OF CABO ROJO TO LA CRUZ. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 400 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LORENZO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.9 WEST OR ABOUT 105 MILES...170 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF TUXPAN MEXICO. LORENZO IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION TOWARD THE COAST OF MEXICO IS EXPECTED UNTIL THE CENTER CROSSES THE COAST OF MEXICO IN ABOUT 12 HOURS OR SO DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASE TO NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST AND LORENZO COULD REACH THE COAST AS A HURRICANE. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM FROM THE CENTER. LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE WAS 999 MB...29.50 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE COAST. REPEATING THE 400 PM CDT POSITION...20.4 N...95.9 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 5 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 700 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1000 PM CDT. $$ FORECASTER AVILA |
