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#152813 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:49 AM 28.Sep.2007)
TCMAT3
TROPICAL STORM LORENZO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132007
0900 UTC FRI SEP 28 2007

AT 4 AM CDT...0900 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS CHANGED THE
HURRICANE WARNING FROM PALMA SOLA TO CABO ROJO TO A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM VERACRUZ
NORTHWARD TO CABO ROJO. THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM NORTH OF
CABO ROJO TO LA CRUZ HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 97.5W AT 28/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE 15SE 0SW 10NW.
34 KT....... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 97.5W AT 28/0900Z
AT 28/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 97.1W

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 20.9N 98.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.6N 97.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER KNABB