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| #152831 (Received by flhurricane at: 7:43 AM 28.Sep.2007) TCPAT3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM LORENZO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 12A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132007 700 AM CDT FRI SEP 28 2007 ...WEAKENING LORENZO PRODUCING TORRENTIAL RAINS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM VERACRUZ NORTHWARD TO CABO ROJO. THIS WARNING WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER THIS MORNING. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 700 AM CDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LORENZO WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 98.0 WEST OR ABOUT 40 MILES...65 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF TUXPAN MEXICO. LORENZO IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR. THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY BRINGING THE CENTER OF LORENZO FARTHER INLAND OVER EAST-CENTRAL MEXICO. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. RAPID WEAKENING IS FORECAST TODAY AS LORENZO MOVES FARTHER INLAND. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.52 INCHES. LORENZO IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES... OVER PORTIONS OF EAST-CENTRAL MEXICO. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. REPEATING THE 700 AM CDT POSITION...20.7 N...98.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 1000 AM CDT. $$ FORECASTER AVILA |
