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#153016 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:40 AM 29.Sep.2007)
TCMAT2
TROPICAL DEPRESSION KAREN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122007
1500 UTC SAT SEP 29 2007

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 53.8W AT 29/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 53.8W AT 29/1500Z
AT 29/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 53.5W

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 17.5N 55.0W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 19.0N 56.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 20.5N 57.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.8N 53.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA