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| #153136 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:28 AM 30.Sep.2007) TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM MELISSA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142007 0900 UTC SUN SEP 30 2007 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 31.4W AT 30/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 31.4W AT 30/0900Z AT 30/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 30.9W FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 17.2N 33.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 18.3N 35.1W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 19.3N 37.1W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 20.5N 39.2W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 23.0N 42.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 26.0N 44.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.5N 31.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/1500Z $$ FORECASTER RHOME |
