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| #154778 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:31 PM 12.Oct.2007) TCDAT5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN DISCUSSION NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152007 500 PM EDT FRI OCT 12 2007 THE DEPRESSION HAS BECOME A TIGHT SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS DEVOID OF DEEP CONVECTION. IN FACT...IT APPEARS THAT IT IS RAPIDLY WEAKENING TO A REMNANT LOW. THE SHEAR IS FORECAST TO INCREASE SIGNIFICANTLY... THEREFORE REGENERATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED. THE SYSTEM COULD STILL PRODUCE INTERMITTENT BURST OF CONVECTION BEFORE DISSIPATION. THE DEPRESSION HAS BEEN MEANDERING AND ONLY A SMALL NORTHWARD DRIFT IS ANTICIPATED DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. THIS WILL BE THE LAST ADVISORY OF THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 12/2100Z 30.8N 49.5W 25 KT 12HR VT 13/0600Z 31.5N 49.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 24HR VT 13/1800Z 32.5N 49.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 36HR VT 14/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ FORECASTER AVILA |
