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| #157639 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:40 PM 01.Nov.2007) TCMAT1 HURRICANE NOEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162007 0300 UTC FRI NOV 02 2007 AT 11 PM EDT...0300 UTC...ALL WATCHES AND WARNINGS FOR THE BAHAMAS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED. A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.3N 76.1W AT 02/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 30 DEGREES AT 17 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 981 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT. 64 KT....... 40NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT....... 75NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT.......125NE 100SE 25SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..540NE 300SE 30SW 210NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.3N 76.1W AT 02/0300Z AT 02/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.6N 76.5W FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 29.5N 74.7W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 75NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 25SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 33.0N 72.5W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT...120NE 120SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...240NE 240SE 0SW 320NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 37.5N 69.5W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT...180NE 180SE 150SW 180NW. 34 KT...360NE 360SE 300SW 360NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 42.5N 66.5W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT...240NE 240SE 150SW 150NW. 34 KT...480NE 480SE 300SW 240NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 53.0N 58.5W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT...300NE 300SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...480NE 540SE 480SW 240NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 62.5N 50.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.3N 76.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0900Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA |
