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| #157640 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:43 PM 01.Nov.2007) TCPAT1 BULLETIN HURRICANE NOEL ADVISORY NUMBER 22 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162007 1100 PM EDT THU NOV 01 2007 ...HURRICANE NOEL EXPECTED TO BECOME A LARGE AND POWERFUL EXTRATROPICAL STORM OVER THE OPEN ATLANTIC ON FRIDAY... AT 11 PM EDT...0300 UTC...ALL WATCHES AND WARNINGS FOR THE BAHAMAS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED. A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 1100 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NOEL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.1 WEST OR ABOUT 180 MILES... 285 KM...NORTH-NORTHEAST OF NASSAU AND ABOUT 760 MILES...1225 KM... WEST-SOUTHWEST OF BERMUDA. NOEL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH...32 KM/HR... AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...NOEL WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE BAHAMAS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. NOEL IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS....BUT NOEL IS EXPECTED TO LOSE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THEREAFTER...NOEL SHOULD THEN STRENGTHEN AND INCREASE IN SIZE AS AN EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE. INTERESTS ALONG THE U.S. EAST COAST FROM NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD SHOULD CONSULT STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THEIR LOCAL NWS FORECAST OFFICE. INTERESTS ALONG THE CANADIAN MARITIMES SHOULD CONSULT PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTRE OF ENVIRONMENT CANADA. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...MAINLY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 145 MILES...230 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE FROM A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE WAS 981 MB...28.97 INCHES. NOEL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF UP TO ONE INCH ACROSS THE OUTER BANKS OF NORTH CAROLINA AND 2 TO 4 INCHES....WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS TO 6 INCHES ACROSS EASTERN NEW ENGLAND. REPEATING THE 1100 PM EDT POSITION...27.3 N...76.1 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...981 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 500 AM EDT. $$ FORECASTER AVILA |
