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| #163306 (Received by flhurricane at: 6:58 AM 11.Dec.2007) TCPAT2 BULLETIN SUBTROPICAL STORM OLGA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 2A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172007 800 AM AST TUE DEC 11 2007 ...CENTER OF OLGA NOW JUST WEST OF PUERTO RICO OVER THE MONA PASSAGE... ...RAINBANDS BEGINNING TO SPREAD ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO WESTWARD TO BAHIO DE MANZANILLO AT THE BORDER WITH HAITI...AND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO TO PUNTA PALENQUE SOUTHWEST OF SANTO DOMINGO. INTERESTS IN HAITI SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF OLGA...ESPECIALLY DUE TO THE POTENTIAL FOR LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 800 AM AST...1200Z...THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM OLGA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 67.6 WEST OR ABOUT 45 MILES...75 KM...EAST OF CABO ENGANO IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC....AND ABOUT 155 MILES...250 KM...EAST OF SANTO DOMINGO IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC. OLGA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE FOR NEXT DAY OR SO. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF OLGA SHOULD MOVE NEAR OR OVER HISPANIOLA TODAY AND TONIGHT. SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AND WSR-88D RADAR DATA FROM SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO SUGGEST THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED AND ARE NOW NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED BEFORE OLGA REACHES THE COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...BUT WEAKENING IS FORECAST THEREAFTER AS OLGA INTERACTS WITH THE TERRAIN OF HISPANIOLA. WINDS OF 40 MPH EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM...MAINLY TO THE NORTHEAST FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON SURFACE OBSERVATIONS IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES. SUBTROPICAL STORM OLGA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OVER PUERTO RICO WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER HISPANIOLA WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 10 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. REPEATING THE 800 AM AST POSITION...18.4 N...67.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 15 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 1100 AM AST. $$ FORECASTER KNABB/MAINELLI |
