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| #163320 (Received by flhurricane at: 9:49 AM 11.Dec.2007) TCPAT2 BULLETIN SUBTROPICAL STORM OLGA ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172007 1100 AM AST TUE DEC 11 2007 ...WARNING EXTENDED WESTWARD ALONG THE NORTH COAST OF HISPANIOLA... AT 11 AM AST...1500 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE NORTH COAST OF HAITI FROM THE BORDER WITH THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC WESTWARD TO LE MOLE ST. NICHOLAS AT THE NORTHWESTERN TIP OF HAITI. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST OF HISPANIOLA FROM CABO ENGANO IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC TO LE MOLE ST. NICHOLAS HAITI. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO TO PUNTA PALENQUE. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH OR WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS LATER TODAY. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 1100 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM OLGA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 68.0 WEST OR ABOUT 130 MILES...205 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF SANTO DOMINGO IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND ABOUT 125 MILES...205 KM...WEST OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO. OLGA IS MOVING JUST SOUTH OF DUE WEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF OLGA IS EXPECTED TO PASS VERY CLOSE TO THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC LATER TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED TODAY...BUT SOME WEAKENING IS LIKELY TOMORROW AS OLGA ENCOUNTERS STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WINDS. OLGA`S STRONGEST WINDS ARE LOCATED WELL AWAY FROM THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION...WHICH IS A CHARACTERISTIC OF SUBTROPICAL CYCLONES. WINDS OF 40 MPH EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 275 MILES...445 KM TO THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER. NOAA BUOY 41043...ABOUT 270 MILES FROM THE CENTER...RECENTLY REPORTED A SUSTAINED WIND OF 40 MPH WITH A GUST TO 54 MPH. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES. OLGA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OVER PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES OVER PUERTO RICO. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER HISPANIOLA WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 10 INCHES. THESE RAINS HAVE ALREADY PRODUCED LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES IN PUERTO RICO. REPEATING THE 1100 AM AST POSITION...18.1 N...68.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 15 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 200 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500 PM AST. $$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN/BROWN |
