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| #163321 (Received by flhurricane at: 9:52 AM 11.Dec.2007) TCMAT2 SUBTROPICAL STORM OLGA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172007 1500 UTC TUE DEC 11 2007 AT 11 AM AST...1500 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE NORTH COAST OF HAITI FROM THE BORDER WITH THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC WESTWARD TO LE MOLE ST. NICHOLAS AT THE NORTHWESTERN TIP OF HAITI. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST OF HISPANIOLA FROM CABO ENGANO IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC TO LE MOLE ST. NICHOLAS HAITI. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO TO PUNTA PALENQUE. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH OR WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS LATER TODAY. SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 68.0W AT 11/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 260 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT.......240NE 0SE 0SW 120NW. 12 FT SEAS..600NE 0SE 0SW 450NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 68.0W AT 11/1500Z AT 11/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 67.6W FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 18.0N 70.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...240NE 0SE 0SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 18.1N 74.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 18.2N 77.4W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 18.2N 80.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 18.0N 85.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.1N 68.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/2100Z $$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN |
