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| #163348 (Received by flhurricane at: 12:55 PM 11.Dec.2007) TCPAT2 BULLETIN SUBTROPICAL STORM OLGA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 3A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172007 200 PM AST TUE DEC 11 2007 ...CENTER OF OLGA MAKING LANDFALL IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC... AT 2 PM AST...1800 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST OF HISPANIOLA FROM CABO ENGANO IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC TO LE MOLE ST. NICHOLAS HAITI. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO TO PUNTA PALENQUE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 200 PM AST...1800Z...THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM OLGA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 68.4 WEST OR ALONG THE COAST AT THE EASTERNMOST TIP OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC NEAR PUNTA CANA. THIS POSITION IS ALSO ABOUT 85 MILES...135 KM...EAST OF SANTO DOMINGO. OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS OLGA HAS BEEN MOVING TO THE WEST- NORTHWEST AT 10 MPH...15 KM/HR...BUT A RETURN TO A WESTWARD TRACK IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE CENTER OF OLGA IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR OR OVER THE ISLAND OF HISPANIOLA FOR MUCH OF THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SLOW WEAKENING IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO. OLGA`S STRONGEST WINDS ARE LOCATED WELL AWAY FROM THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION...WHICH IS A CHARACTERISTIC OF SUBTROPICAL CYCLONES. WINDS OF 40 MPH EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 275 MILES...445 KM TO THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES. OLGA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OVER PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES OVER PUERTO RICO. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER HISPANIOLA WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 10 INCHES. THESE RAINS HAVE ALREADY PRODUCED LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES IN PUERTO RICO. REPEATING THE 200 PM AST POSITION...18.5 N...68.4 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 500 PM AST. $$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN/BROWN |
