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| #163424 (Received by flhurricane at: 9:34 PM 11.Dec.2007) TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM OLGA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172007 0300 UTC WED DEC 12 2007 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST OF HISPANIOLA FROM CABO ENGANO IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC TO LE MOLE ST. NICHOLAS HAITI. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO TO PUNTA PALENQUE. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 70.6W AT 12/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 40NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT.......210NE 75SE 0SW 150NW. 12 FT SEAS..450NE 0SE 0SW 450NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 70.6W AT 12/0300Z AT 12/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 69.8W FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 19.0N 73.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...210NE 0SE 0SW 175NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 19.5N 76.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 19.5N 78.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 19.5N 80.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 19.5N 83.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.0N 70.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0900Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA |
