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| #16530 (Received by flhurricane at: 9:38 PM 30.Nov.2004) TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM OTTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162004 0300Z WED DEC 01 2004 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.6N 50.8W AT 01/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST OR 135 DEGREES AT 2 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT.......150NE 60SE 60SW 150NW. 12 FT SEAS..600NE 300SE 300SW 400NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.6N 50.8W AT 01/0300Z AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.6N 50.9W FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 31.4N 50.3W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 75SE 75SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 31.0N 49.7W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 30.0N 49.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 29.5N 48.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 28.5N 46.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 28.0N 45.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 27.5N 43.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.6N 50.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z FORECASTER FRANKLIN |
