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#16642 (Received by flhurricane at: 3:18 AM 02.Dec.2004) TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM OTTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162004 0900Z THU DEC 02 2004 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.8N 49.9W AT 02/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTH OR 180 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 996 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 20NE 45SE 20SW 20NW. 12 FT SEAS..200NE 100SE 100SW 200NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.8N 49.9W AT 02/0900Z AT 02/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.0N 49.9W FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 29.0N 49.7W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 27.9N 49.1W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 26.8N 48.5W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 25.9N 48.1W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 24.7N 48.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 23.5N 48.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.8N 49.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/1500Z FORECASTER STEWART |