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| #16670 (Received by flhurricane at: 9:32 AM 02.Dec.2004) TCDAT1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION OTTO DISCUSSION NUMBER 8 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 AM EST THU DEC 02 2004 HIGH-RESOLUTION DATA FROM A QUIKSCAT OVERPASS JUST AFTER 09Z INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM WINDS IN THE CIRCULATION HAVE NOW DROPPED BELOW GALE FORCE. THE SYSTEM IS ESSENTIALLY DEVOID OF DEEP CONVECTION...SO OTTO IS DEGENERATING INTO A REMNANT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM. STRONG WESTERLY SHEAR ACROSS THE AREA SHOULD PREVENT ANY SIGNIFICANT REGENERATION OF THE CYCLONE. THE SYSTEM HAS BEEN MOVING A LITTLE WEST OF SOUTH OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. A SLOW AND GENERALLY SOUTHWARD MOTION IS FORECAST OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WHILE OTTO'S REMNANTS CONTINUE TO SPIN DOWN. BASED ON THE CURRENT MOTION...THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK IS A LITTLE TO THE WEST OF THE GUIDANCE. THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY ON OTTO. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANT LOW OF OTTO CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC. FORECASTER PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 02/1500Z 28.8N 50.6W 30 KT...DISSIPATING 12HR VT 03/0000Z 27.8N 50.7W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW 24HR VT 03/1200Z 26.7N 50.6W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW 36HR VT 04/0000Z 25.5N 50.5W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW 48HR VT 04/1200Z 24.5N 50.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 72HR VT 05/1200Z 24.0N 50.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 96HR VT 06/1200Z...DISSIPATED |
