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| #191370 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:40 PM 31.May.2008) TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ARTHUR ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012008 500 PM EDT SAT MAY 31 2008 ...ARTHUR MOVING SLOWLY OVER YUCATAN... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF BELIZE AND FOR THE COAST OF YUCATAN FROM CABO CATOCHE SOUTHWARD TO THE BORDER WITH BELIZE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 500 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ARTHUR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.9 WEST OR ABOUT 75 MILES...125 KM...NORTHWEST OF BELIZE CITY AND ABOUT 195 MILES...315 KM...SOUTHWEST OF COZUMEL MEXICO. ARTHUR IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR... AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE WEST IS EXPECTED TOMORROW. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF ARTHUR COULD EMERGE OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE SUNDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS MAINLY OVER WATER EAST OF THE CENTER. ARTHUR IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A DEPRESSION TONIGHT...BUT IT COULD THEN REGAIN TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH IF IT EMERGES OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 260 MILES...415 KM TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES. ARTHUR IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF BELIZE...GUATEMALA...AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 15 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES...ESPECIALLY IN MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. REPEATING THE 500 PM EDT POSITION...18.4 N...88.9 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 800 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 PM EDT. $$ FORECASTER AVILA/RHOME |
