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| #191494 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:55 PM 31.May.2008) TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ARTHUR ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012008 1000 PM CDT SAT MAY 31 2008 ...CENTER OF ARTHUR CROSSING THE SOUTHERN YUCATAN PENINSULA... ...WINDS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF BELIZE AND FOR THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM CABO CATOCHE MEXICO SOUTHWARD TO THE BORDER WITH BELIZE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 1000 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ARTHUR WAS CENTERED INLAND OVER THE SOUTHERN YUCATAN PENINSULA NEAR LATITUDE 18.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.5 WEST OR ABOUT 80 MILES...125 KM...WEST OF CHETUMAL MEXICO AND ABOUT 120 MILES...195 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CAMPECHE MEXICO. ARTHUR IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF ARTHUR WILL CROSS THE SOUTHERN YUCATAN PENINSULA OVERNIGHT AND WILL BE NEAR THE SOUTHERN BAY OF CAMPECHE COAST OF MEXICO ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...MAINLY EAST OF THE CENTER OVER PORTIONS OF THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA. ARTHUR IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A DEPRESSION TONIGHT OR TOMORROW MORNING...BUT IT COULD LATER REGAIN TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH ON SUNDAY OR MONDAY IF IT EMERGES OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER OVER PORTIONS OF THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES. ARTHUR IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF BELIZE...GUATEMALA...AND SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 15 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES...ESPECIALLY IN MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. REPEATING THE 1000 PM CDT POSITION...18.4 N...89.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 100 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 400 AM CDT. $$ FORECASTER KNABB |
