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| #200240 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:34 AM 10.Jul.2008) TCMAT2 HURRICANE BERTHA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 30 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022008 1500 UTC THU JUL 10 2008 IT IS STILL TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE THE EXTENT TO WHICH BERTHA COULD IMPACT BERMUDA. INTERESTS ON THAT ISLAND SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF BERTHA DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.5N 60.2W AT 10/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 977 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT. 64 KT....... 25NE 15SE 15SW 15NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT.......120NE 75SE 60SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS..240NE 160SE 160SW 240NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.5N 60.2W AT 10/1500Z AT 10/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.3N 59.8W FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 27.5N 61.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 15SE 15SW 15NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT...120NE 75SE 60SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 28.5N 61.6W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...140NE 100SE 75SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 29.5N 62.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...140NE 100SE 75SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 30.1N 62.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...140NE 100SE 75SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 31.5N 62.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 60SE 45SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 120SE 90SW 120NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 33.5N 61.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 37.0N 61.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.5N 60.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN |
