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| #200385 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:34 AM 11.Jul.2008) TCMAT2 HURRICANE BERTHA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 33 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022008 0900 UTC FRI JUL 11 2008 INTERESTS ON BERMUDA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF BERTHA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MAY BE ISSUED FOR THE ISLAND LATER TODAY. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.0N 61.7W AT 11/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT. 64 KT....... 25NE 15SE 15SW 15NW. 50 KT....... 60NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT.......120NE 90SE 90SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..210NE 150SE 120SW 210NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.0N 61.7W AT 11/0900Z AT 11/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.8N 61.5W FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 28.8N 62.3W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 15SE 15SW 15NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...120NE 90SE 90SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 29.7N 62.6W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 75NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...140NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 30.4N 62.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 75NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...140NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 31.3N 62.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 140SE 120SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 32.5N 61.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 140SE 120SW 120NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z 34.0N 60.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 16/0600Z 36.0N 59.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.0N 61.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN |
