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| #200477 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:43 PM 11.Jul.2008) TCMAT2 HURRICANE BERTHA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 35 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022008 2100 UTC FRI JUL 11 2008 A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.1N 62.2W AT 11/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 976 MB EYE DIAMETER 40 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 15SW 30NW. 50 KT....... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT.......120NE 110SE 100SW 120NW. 12 FT SEAS..210NE 150SE 120SW 210NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.1N 62.2W AT 11/2100Z AT 11/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.7N 62.1W FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 29.5N 62.7W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 15SW 30NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 110SE 100SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 30.2N 62.7W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 75NE 50SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 120SE 100SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 30.6N 62.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 75NE 50SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 120SE 100SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 31.5N 62.3W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 140SE 120SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 32.5N 62.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 140SE 120SW 120NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 34.0N 61.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 35.0N 60.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.1N 62.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0300Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA |
