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| #200498 (Received by flhurricane at: 7:52 PM 11.Jul.2008) TCPAT2 BULLETIN HURRICANE BERTHA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 35A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022008 800 PM AST FRI JUL 11 2008 ...CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE BERTHA STILL SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA AND CRAWLING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA. AT 800 PM AST...0000Z...THE LARGE EYE OF HURRICANE BERTHA WAS CENTERED NEAR LATITUDE 29.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.3 WEST OR ABOUT 250 MILES...400 KM...SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA. BERTHA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/HR. A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND SATURDAY... FOLLOWED BY A CONTINUED SLOW MOTION TOWARD THE NORTH OR NORTH-NORTHEAST ON SUNDAY. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF BERTHA IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY PASS TO THE SOUTHEAST AND EAST OF BERMUDA DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 90 MPH...150 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. BERTHA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS ANTICIPATED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT BERTHA COULD COME CLOSE ENOUGH TO BERMUDA WITHIN THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS TO BRING WINDS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE TO THAT ISLAND AND ADJACENT WATERS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON EARLIER AIRCRAFT DATA IS 976 MB...28.82 INCHES. THE OUTER BANDS OF BERTHA ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN BERMUDA OF 1 TO 2 INCHES DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS. REPEATING THE 800 PM AST POSITION...29.3 N...62.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...976 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 1100 PM AST. $$ FORECASTER KNABB |
