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| #200568 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:40 AM 12.Jul.2008) TCPAT2 BULLETIN HURRICANE BERTHA ADVISORY NUMBER 37 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022008 500 AM AST SAT JUL 12 2008 ...LITTLE CHANGE IN THE MOTION OR INTENSITY OF BERTHA... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED FOR THE ISLAND LATER TODAY. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 500 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE BERTHA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.5 WEST OR ABOUT 225 MILES... 365 KM...SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA. BERTHA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/HR. A SLOW MOTION TOWARD THE NORTH IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF BERTHA IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY PASS TO THE SOUTHEAST AND EAST OF BERMUDA...BUT THE MOTION COULD OCCASIONALLY BE ERRATIC. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 90 MPH...150 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. BERTHA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT BERTHA COULD COME CLOSE ENOUGH TO BERMUDA WITHIN THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS TO BRING WINDS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE TO THAT ISLAND AND ADJACENT WATERS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 976 MB...28.82 INCHES. LARGE SWELLS AND HIGH SURF ARE AFFECTING BERMUDA...AND THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THE OUTER BANDS OF BERTHA ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN BERMUDA OF 1 TO 2 INCHES DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS. REPEATING THE 500 AM AST POSITION...29.7 N...62.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...976 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 800 AM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 AM AST. $$ FORECASTER BEVEN |
