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| #200660 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:37 PM 12.Jul.2008) TCMAT2 HURRICANE BERTHA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 39 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022008 2100 UTC SAT JUL 12 2008 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.9N 62.6W AT 12/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 1 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 MB EYE DIAMETER 15 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT.......120NE 120SE 100SW 120NW. 12 FT SEAS..210NE 150SE 120SW 210NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.9N 62.6W AT 12/2100Z AT 12/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.9N 62.6W FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 30.4N 62.7W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 31.0N 62.7W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 32.0N 62.8W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 140SE 120SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 33.0N 62.8W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 140SE 120SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 34.5N 61.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 140SE 120SW 120NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 35.5N 59.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 35.5N 56.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.9N 62.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0300Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA |
