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| #200887 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:49 PM 13.Jul.2008) TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM BERTHA ADVISORY NUMBER 44 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022008 1100 PM AST SUN JUL 13 2008 ...BERTHA STILL DRIFTING BUT EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY NORTHWARD... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 1100 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERTHA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 63.1 WEST OR ABOUT 160 MILES...255 KM...SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA. DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS BERTHA HAS BEEN DRIFTING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH...6 KM/HR. A MOTION GENERALLY TOWARD THE NORTH AT A SLIGHTLY GREATER FORWARD SPEED IS FORECAST ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF BERTHA IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY PASS NOT FAR TO THE SOUTHEAST AND EAST OF BERMUDA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB...29.23 INCHES. LARGE SWELLS AND HIGH SURF ARE AFFECTING BERMUDA...AND THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THE OUTER BANDS OF BERTHA COULD PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN BERMUDA OF 2 TO 4 INCHES DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. REPEATING THE 1100 PM AST POSITION...30.5 N...63.1 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 200 AM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500 AM AST. $$ FORECASTER KNABB |
