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| #201073 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:52 PM 14.Jul.2008) TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM BERTHA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 48 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022008 0300 UTC TUE JUL 15 2008 AT 11 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WATCH FOR BERMUDA...BUT A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.8N 63.7W AT 15/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 15 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 995 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT.......120NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..200NE 150SE 90SW 140NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.8N 63.7W AT 15/0300Z AT 15/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.4N 63.9W FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 34.9N 63.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 45NE 45SE 45SW 45NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 35.7N 61.9W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 45NE 45SE 45SW 45NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 35.4N 60.6W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 34.4N 59.2W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 33.5N 55.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 36.0N 52.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 39.5N 49.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.8N 63.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0900Z $$ FORECASTER KNABB |
