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| #201107 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:52 AM 15.Jul.2008) TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM BERTHA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 49 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022008 0900 UTC TUE JUL 15 2008 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.7N 63.2W AT 15/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 30 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 995 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT.......120NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..210NE 150SE 90SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.7N 63.2W AT 15/0900Z AT 15/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.3N 63.5W FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 35.7N 62.3W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 35.9N 60.9W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 34.7N 59.8W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 33.7N 58.6W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 34.0N 55.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 90SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 37.0N 51.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 41.0N 47.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.7N 63.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/1500Z $$ FORECASTER KNABB |
