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| #201749 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:35 AM 19.Jul.2008) TCMAT2 HURRICANE BERTHA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 65 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022008 0900 UTC SAT JUL 19 2008 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 41.2N 47.4W AT 19/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 35 DEGREES AT 22 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 989 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 0NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT....... 35NE 50SE 35SW 35NW. 34 KT.......110NE 150SE 110SW 75NW. 12 FT SEAS..270NE 330SE 150SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 41.2N 47.4W AT 19/0900Z AT 19/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 40.3N 48.2W FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 43.8N 44.8W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 100SE 35SW 0NW. 34 KT...175NE 200SE 125SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 48.0N 40.5W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 100SE 35SW 0NW. 34 KT...175NE 200SE 125SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 53.0N 35.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 75NE 125SE 50SW 0NW. 34 KT...200NE 225SE 125SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 58.0N 28.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 75NE 125SE 75SW 0NW. 34 KT...200NE 225SE 150SW 75NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z...ABSORBED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 41.2N 47.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/1500Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA |
