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| #201751 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:37 AM 19.Jul.2008) TCMAT3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032008 0900 UTC SAT JUL 19 2008 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER...INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.4N 79.4W AT 19/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 35 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.4N 79.4W AT 19/0900Z AT 19/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.2N 79.5W FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 33.0N 78.7W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 34.0N 77.3W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 35.0N 76.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 36.5N 73.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 60SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 39.0N 69.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 75SE 0SW 0NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z...ABSORBED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.4N 79.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/1500Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA |
