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| #201804 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:49 AM 19.Jul.2008) TCMAT3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032008 1500 UTC SAT JUL 19 2008 AT 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM NORTH OF EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER...INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.6N 78.5W AT 19/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 50 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.6N 78.5W AT 19/1500Z AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.4N 78.8W FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 33.3N 77.6W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 75SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 34.2N 76.3W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 75SE 30SW 45NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 35.1N 75.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 75SE 30SW 45NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 36.5N 73.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 30SW 45NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 40.5N 68.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 30SW 30NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z...ABSORBED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.6N 78.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE/KNABB |
