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| #201869 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:40 PM 19.Jul.2008) TCMAT2 HURRICANE BERTHA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 67 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022008 2100 UTC SAT JUL 19 2008 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 44.8N 43.3W AT 19/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 35 DEGREES AT 22 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 989 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT....... 75NE 100SE 50SW 40NW. 34 KT.......175NE 200SE 125SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS..270NE 330SE 150SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 44.8N 43.3W AT 19/2100Z AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 43.7N 44.3W FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 47.9N 40.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 75NE 100SE 50SW 40NW. 34 KT...175NE 200SE 125SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 52.9N 34.3W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 75NE 125SE 50SW 0NW. 34 KT...200NE 225SE 125SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 58.0N 27.2W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 75NE 125SE 50SW 0NW. 34 KT...200NE 225SE 125SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 62.5N 20.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 75NE 125SE 50SW 0NW. 34 KT...200NE 225SE 125SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z...DISSIPATED EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z...DISSIPATED OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 44.8N 43.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0300Z $$ FORECASTER KNABB |
