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| #201872 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:52 PM 19.Jul.2008) TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032008 2100 UTC SAT JUL 19 2008 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER...INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.0N 77.9W AT 19/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 50 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 45NE 45SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.0N 77.9W AT 19/2100Z AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.8N 78.2W FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 33.7N 77.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 45SW 45NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 34.7N 75.6W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 35NE 35SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 45SW 45NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 35.9N 73.9W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 38.0N 71.3W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 43.5N 64.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 45SW 45NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z...ABSORBED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.0N 77.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE/KNABB |
