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#202027 (Received by flhurricane at: 11:43 AM 20.Jul.2008)
TCMAT4
TROPICAL STORM DOLLY SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042008
1545 UTC SUN JUL 20 2008

AT 1145 AM EDT...1545 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO FROM THE
BORDER WITH BELIZE TO CAMPECHE MEXICO. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 84.2W AT 20/1545Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT.......100NE 150SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 175SE 100SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 84.2W AT 20/1545Z
AT 20/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 83.5W

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 19.7N 86.3W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 0SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 21.1N 89.5W...INLAND OVER YUCATAN
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 0SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 22.2N 92.2W...OVER GULF OF MEXICO
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 0SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 23.0N 94.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 60SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 24.5N 96.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 60SW 150NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 26.0N 97.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 27.0N 100.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.4N 84.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER KNABB