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| #202311 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:49 PM 21.Jul.2008) TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032008 2100 UTC MON JUL 21 2008 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.1N 71.4W AT 21/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 55 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 0NE 45SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT....... 60NE 110SE 60SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 45NE 75SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.1N 71.4W AT 21/2100Z AT 21/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 36.8N 72.0W FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 38.9N 68.7W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 60NE 110SE 90SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 41.7N 64.7W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 90NE 120SE 90SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 44.0N 60.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 75SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...110NE 130SE 90SW 45NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 45.0N 55.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 100SE 100SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 42.5N 45.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 75SE 75SW 0NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 38.5N 40.5W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 37.1N 71.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE |
