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#202449 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:34 AM 22.Jul.2008) TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM DOLLY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042008 0900 UTC TUE JUL 22 2008 A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF TEXAS FROM BROWNSVILLE TO PORT O`CONNOR. A HURRICANE WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHEAST COAST OF MEXICO FROM RIO SAN FERNANDO NORTHWARD TO THE BORDER BETWEEN MEXICO AND THE UNITED STATES. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF PORT O`CONNOR TO SAN LUIS PASS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM LA PESCA TO SOUTH OF RIO SAN FERNANDO. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.3N 93.8W AT 22/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 34 KT.......140NE 120SE 30SW 120NW. 12 FT SEAS..200NE 180SE 60SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.3N 93.8W AT 22/0900Z AT 22/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.2N 93.3W FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 24.1N 95.1W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 30SE 0SW 40NW. 34 KT...140NE 120SE 60SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 25.0N 96.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 25NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...140NE 120SE 60SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 25.7N 97.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 120SE 40SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 26.0N 99.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 20SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 26.0N 102.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.3N 93.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/1500Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH |