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| #203190 (Received by flhurricane at: 7:40 AM 24.Jul.2008) TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM DOLLY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 16A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042008 700 AM CDT THU JUL 24 2008 ...DOLLY PRODUCING HEAVY RAINS OVER DEEP SOUTH TEXAS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE TEXAS COAST FROM BROWNSVILLE TO PORT ARANSAS. THIS WARNING WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER THIS MORNING. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 700 AM CDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DOLLY WAS LOCATED INLAND TEXAS NEAR LATITUDE 27.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 98.9 WEST OR ABOUT 50 MILES...80 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF LAREDO. DOLLY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR. A CONTINUED MOTION TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO...WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED UNTIL THE SYSTEM DISSIPATES ON FRIDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 50 MPH...80 KM/HR... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES FARTHER INLAND...AND IT IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER TODAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 995 MB...29.38 INCHES. DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES...OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTH TEXAS AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO. THESE RAINS ARE VERY LIKELY TO CAUSE WIDESPREAD FLOODING. REPEATING THE 700 AM CDT POSITION...27.2 N...98.9 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 1000 AM CDT. $$ FORECASTER AVILA |
