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| #205274 (Received by flhurricane at: 7:25 PM 03.Aug.2008) TCDAT5 TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD SPECIAL DISCUSSION NUMBER 2 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052008 600 PM EDT SUN AUG 03 2008 WHEN THE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT PASSED THROUGH THE CONVECTION TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER A SHORT TIME AGO...IT FOUND MAXIMUM FLIGHT LEVEL WINDS OF 54 KT AND A SURFACE PRESSURE OF 1002 MB...A DROP OF 5 MB IN AN HOUR AND A HALF. THESE DATA INDICATE THAT THE DEPRESSION HAS STRENGTHENED INTO THE FIFTH TROPICAL STORM OF THE SEASON. THIS SPECIAL ADVISORY UPDATES THE INITIAL AND FORECAST INTENSITY OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE. EDOUARD IS NOW EXPECTED TO BE NEAR HURRICANE INTENSITY AT LANDFALL...WITH THE OFFICIAL FORECAST BETWEEN THE GFDL AND SHIPS GUIDANCE. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 03/2200Z 28.1N 88.0W 40 KT 12HR VT 04/0600Z 28.2N 89.4W 45 KT 24HR VT 04/1800Z 28.4N 91.5W 50 KT 36HR VT 05/0600Z 28.9N 93.8W 60 KT 48HR VT 05/1800Z 29.5N 96.2W 45 KT...INLAND 72HR VT 06/1800Z 30.5N 100.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 96HR VT 07/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN/BLAKE |
