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| #205587 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:46 AM 05.Aug.2008) TCDAT5 TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD DISCUSSION NUMBER 9 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052008 1100 AM EDT TUE AUG 05 2008 EDOUARD MADE LANDFALL AT 1200 UTC IN THE MCFADDIN NATIONAL WILDLIFE REFUGE ON THE UPPER TEXAS COAST BETWEEN HIGH ISLAND AND SABINE PASS WITH MAXIMUM WINDS OF ABOUT 55 KT. THE CYCLONE IS NOW BEGINNING TO LOSE ORGANIZATION AND WEAKENING IS FORECAST ROUGHLY IN LINE WITH THE DECAY SHIPS MODEL. THE CENTER IS BECOMING HARDER TO LOCATE IN WSR-88D DATA...BUT THE INITIAL MOTION IS ESTIMATED TO BE 300/13. MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON A CONTINUED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION WITH PERHAPS A SLIGHT REDUCTION IN FORWARD SPEED UNTIL THE CYCLONE DISSIPATES IN 36-48 HOURS. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 05/1500Z 29.9N 94.6W 50 KT...INLAND 12HR VT 06/0000Z 30.6N 96.5W 40 KT...INLAND 24HR VT 06/1200Z 31.4N 98.6W 30 KT...INLAND 36HR VT 07/0000Z 32.4N 100.7W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW 48HR VT 07/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN |
