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| #208286 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:41 PM 18.Aug.2008) TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062008 2100 UTC MON AUG 18 2008 A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF FLORIDA FROM FLAMINGO TO ANNA MARIA ISLAND. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. AT 5 PM EDT...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING ON THE FLORIDA EAST COAST IS EXTENDED NORTHWARD TO FLAGLER BEACH. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM FLAGLER BEACH SOUTHWARD...INCLUDING LAKE OKEECHOBEE. AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA WEST COAST NORTH OF ANNA MARIA ISLAND TO TARPON SPRINGS. A HURRICANE WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THIS AREA. AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE HURRICANE WATCH IS DISCONTINUED FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM OCEAN REEF TO KEY WEST...INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS...AND FOR THE FLORIDA MAINLAND EAST OF FLAMINGO TO CARD SOUND BRIDGE. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THIS AREA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA EAST COAST NORTH OF FLAGLER BEACH TO FERNANDINA BEACH. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN FLORIDA AND THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF FAY. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.6N 81.9W AT 18/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT.......110NE 90SE 30SW 30NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 30SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.6N 81.9W AT 18/2100Z AT 18/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.3N 81.7W FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 25.8N 82.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...120NE 90SE 45SW 45NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 27.4N 81.9W...INLAND MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 28.8N 81.7W...INLAND MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 30.0N 81.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 31.0N 81.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 32.0N 82.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 33.0N 84.0W...INLAND REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.6N 81.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN |
