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| #208941 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:34 PM 20.Aug.2008) TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062008 2100 UTC WED AUG 20 2008 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FORT PIERCE NORTHWARD TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF ALTAMAHA SOUND TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.8N 80.5W AT 20/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 2 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT.......120NE 90SE 0SW 30NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 150SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.8N 80.5W AT 20/2100Z AT 20/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.7N 80.6W FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 29.2N 80.9W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...120NE 100SE 0SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 29.5N 81.8W...INLAND MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 20SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 29.8N 83.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 30.2N 84.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 31.3N 86.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 32.5N 88.4W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 33.5N 89.5W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.8N 80.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0300Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA |
