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| #211102 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:37 AM 28.Aug.2008) TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM GUSTAV INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 12A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072008 200 AM EDT THU AUG 28 2008 ...RECONNAISSANCE PLANE APPROACHING GUSTAV...STILL MOVING WEST-SOUTHWEST... AT 2 AM EDT...0600 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS REPLACED THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE PROVINCE OF GRANMA WITH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING. ALL OTHER HURRICANE WATCHES AND WARNINGS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED FOR CUBA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN PENINSULA OF HAITI WEST OF THE BORDER WITH THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND PORT AU PRINCE. A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. INTERESTS IN CENTRAL AND WESTERN CUBA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF GUSTAV. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 200 AM EDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GUSTAV WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 75.7 WEST OR ABOUT 80 MILES...130 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF KINGSTON JAMAICA AND ABOUT 105 MILES...165 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF GUANTANAMO CUBA. GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR. GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO TURN TO THE WEST LATER TODAY AND TO THE WEST- NORTHWEST ON FRIDAY. THE CENTER OF GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO PASS VERY CLOSE TO JAMAICA LATER TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SLOW RESTRENGTHENING IS FORECAST OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS AND GUSTAV COULD REGAIN HURRICANE STRENGTH BY FRIDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 999 MB...29.50 INCHES. GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES OVER HAITI...EASTERN CUBA...JAMAICA...AND THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 25 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS CAN BE EXPECTED IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS IN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA. REPEATING THE 200 AM EDT POSITION...18.5 N...75.7 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 500 AM EDT. $$ FORECASTER BLAKE/AVILA |
