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| #211383 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:55 AM 29.Aug.2008) TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM GUSTAV FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072008 0900 UTC FRI AUG 29 2008 HURRICANE WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA AND THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN CUBA...FOR THE PROVINCES OF ISLA DE JUVENTUD...PINAR DEL RIO...LA HABANA...AND CIUDAD DE LA HABANA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCE OF GRANMA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCE OF MATANZAS. TROPICAL STORM WATCHES MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL CUBA LATER TODAY. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 78.1W AT 29/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 991 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 45NE 25SE 0SW 25NW. 34 KT.......120NE 90SE 40SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 45SE 45SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 78.1W AT 29/0900Z AT 29/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 77.7W FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 18.6N 79.3W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 45NE 25SE 20SW 25NW. 34 KT...120NE 90SE 40SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 19.6N 81.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 35SE 30SW 35NW. 34 KT...120NE 90SE 50SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 21.0N 82.8W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 35SE 30SW 35NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...120NE 90SE 75SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 22.7N 84.6W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...140NE 120SE 90SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 26.4N 88.1W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 75SE 60SW 75NW. 34 KT...150NE 130SE 100SW 130NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 29.0N 91.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 30.0N 93.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.1N 78.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE |
