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| #211633 (Received by flhurricane at: 5:00 AM 30.Aug.2008) TCMAT2 HURRICANE GUSTAV FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072008 0900 UTC SAT AUG 30 2008 AT 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF JAMAICA HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR JAMAICA. A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...AND FOR THE WESTERN CUBAN PROVINCES OF PINAR DEL RIO...LA HABANA... CIUDAD DE LA HABANA AND THE ISLA DE JUVENTUD. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL CUBAN PROVINCES OF MATANZAS...CIENFUEGOS...AND VILLA CLARA. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS WEST OF KEY WEST TO THE DRY TORTUGAS AND FOR THE CENTRAL CUBAN PROVINCES OF MATANZAS...CIENFUEGOS...VILLA CLARA...SANCTI SPIRITUS...CIEGO DE AVILA...AND CAMAGUEY. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS WEST OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO KEY WEST. INTERESTS IN THE GULF OF MEXICO AND THE NORTHERN GULF COAST SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF GUSTAV. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 81.3W AT 30/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 965 MB EYE DIAMETER 30 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT. 64 KT....... 50NE 25SE 0SW 30NW. 50 KT....... 75NE 60SE 30SW 60NW. 34 KT.......140NE 120SE 75SW 120NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 90SE 90SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 81.3W AT 30/0900Z AT 30/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 80.8W FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 21.2N 82.7W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 35SE 30SW 35NW. 50 KT... 85NE 60SE 45SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 125SE 90SW 125NW. FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 22.9N 84.6W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 40SE 35SW 40NW. 50 KT... 90NE 70SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...160NE 125SE 105SW 125NW. FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 24.6N 86.4W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 40SE 35SW 40NW. 50 KT... 90NE 70SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...160NE 125SE 105SW 125NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 26.5N 88.3W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 75SE 60SW 75NW. 34 KT...160NE 125SE 105SW 125NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 29.5N 91.5W...NEAR LOUISIANA COAST MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 60SW 75NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 120NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 30.5N 93.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 31.0N 94.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.2N 81.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE/AVILA |
