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| #212478 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:44 PM 01.Sep.2008) TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM IKE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008 2100 UTC MON SEP 01 2008 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 40.6W AT 01/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT.......100NE 75SE 0SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS..240NE 75SE 0SW 50NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 40.6W AT 01/2100Z AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 40.0W FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 18.0N 42.8W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 25NW. 34 KT...100NE 75SE 25SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 18.5N 45.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 25NW. 34 KT...100NE 75SE 25SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 19.5N 48.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 75SE 50SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 20.5N 51.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 75SE 50SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 21.5N 58.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 75SE 50SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 22.0N 64.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 22.0N 69.5W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.7N 40.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA |
