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| #212483 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:53 PM 01.Sep.2008) TCPAT2 BULLETIN HURRICANE GUSTAV ADVISORY NUMBER 33 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072008 400 PM CDT MON SEP 01 2008 AT 4 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE HURRICANE WARNING IS CHANGED TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM CAMERON LOUISIANA WESTWARD. A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM JUST EAST OF CAMERON LOUISIANA EASTWARD TO THE MISSISSIPPI-ALABAMA BORDER...INCLUDING THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD HAVE BEEN COMPLETED. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM CAMERON WESTWARD TO JUST EAST OF HIGH ISLAND TEXAS...AND FROM THE MISSISSIPPI-ALABAMA BORDER TO THE FLORIDA-ALABAMA BORDER. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 400 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUSTAV WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.0 WEST OR NEAR OPELOUSAS LOUISIANA. THIS POSITION IS ALSO ABOUT 15 MILES...20 KM...NORTH OF LAFAYETTE LOUISIANA. GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THIS MOTION SHOULD BRING THE CENTER OF GUSTAV ACROSS SOUTHERN AND WESTERN LOUISIANA TONIGHT...AND INTO EASTERN TEXAS BY TUESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GUSTAV IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS...WITH GUSTAV FORECAST TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM TONIGHT OR EARLY TUESDAY AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATE TUESDAY OR WEDNESDAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM. BATON ROUGE LOUISIANA RECENTLY REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 82 MPH...131 KM/HR. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 966 MB...28.53 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 10 TO 14 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ON THE COASTS OF SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI WILL BE SLOW TO SUBSIDE TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. ABOVE NORMAL TIDES ELSEWHERE IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD GRADUALLY SUBSIDE TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF LOUISIANA...SOUTHERN AND WESTERN MISSISSIPPI...ARKANSAS...SOUTHERN MISSOURI...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA... AND NORTHEASTERN TEXAS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 20 INCHES POSSIBLE THROUGH THURSDAY. A FEW TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND THE CENTRAL GULF COAST TONIGHT. REPEATING THE 400 PM CDT POSITION...30.4 N...92.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...966 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 700 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1000 PM CDT. $$ FORECASTER BEVEN |
