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| #213749 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:58 AM 05.Sep.2008) TCMAT4 HURRICANE IKE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008 0900 UTC FRI SEP 05 2008 INTERESTS IN THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS AND THE SOUTHEASTERN AND CENTRAL BAHAMAS...SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IKE. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.7N 61.0W AT 05/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 945 MB EYE DIAMETER 15 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW. 34 KT....... 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS..360NE 270SE 180SW 300NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.7N 61.0W AT 05/0900Z AT 05/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.7N 60.3W FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 23.7N 63.0W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 23.3N 65.6W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 22.8N 68.1W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 22.5N 70.6W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 70SE 70SW 70NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 23.0N 75.0W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 60SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT...140NE 120SE 120SW 140NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 24.0N 78.5W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 26.0N 81.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.7N 61.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/1500Z $$ FORECASTER KNABB |
